The presidential election at the time of this writing seems a lot closer than the narrative for several months.
Here’s an update on where things are so far.
Keep in mind that some states have large numbers of absentee ballots pending, which could make a difference in extremely tight races.
Election results in the south
Florida wasn’t as close as the media predicted. Just last night, the liberal media prodigy, Nate Silver, only gave Trump a 31% chance of winning.
For your information: @ NateSilver538 forecast in FL: pic.twitter.com/qVrvU3XH5l
– Megyn Kelly (@megynkelly) November 4, 2020
Instead, Trump cruised comfortably and is currently a huge head start. Major news networks were reluctant to name it for Trump, however.
In response, Nate Silver described a Trump victory in Florida as “the first step in a Trump surprise.”
In Georgia, experts recently indicated that the Deep South state could move to Biden. So far, Trump is ahead.
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North Carolina is a major battlefield state for President Trump. At this point it has a slight edge.
There was much ado about Senator Lindsey Graham’s re-election chances when his opponent raised over $ 100 million.
Graham won comfortably.
The story is the same in Kentucky, where Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell’s opponent Amy McGrath raised over $ 84 million just to face defeat.
The mid west
The Midwest is where Trump broke the Democratic “blue wall” in 2016 and won Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin.
At the time of this writing, President Trump and Senate GOP challenger John James have a slight advantage in Michigan.
Around midnight east, Fox News Ohio called for President Trump. These 18 votes are crucial to a Trump victory.
Wisconsin is too close to call
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Interestingly, Wisconsin Democratic Governor Tony Evers ran television commercials defending his response to the COVID pandemic, based on rumors that voters received enough signatures to recall him.
The signature drive was ultimately insufficient.
President Trump won Wisconsin in 2016 by less than 30,000 votes.
Trump has made several visits to Minnesota, a state that has not voted for a Republican since Richard Nixon’s re-election campaign in 1972.
At this point in time, Biden is comfortably ahead there.
Arizona is a reliably red state that has run for the GOP in every election since 1972, except for the re-election of Bill Clinton in 1996.
Fox News has officially called the race for Joe Biden.
As for the Senate, in 2018 the state elected a Democrat, Kyrsten Sinema, versus Republican Martha McSally.
McSally was appointed to the seat following the death of longtime Senator John McCain.
So far in 2020, she has lagged behind Democratic challenger Mark Kelly. Biden’s win is not a good sign for McSally.
Nevada may only have six votes, but is always considered a swing state. There are no numbers available yet.
Other outstanding races
The main outstanding race that was not mentioned is in Pennsylvania.
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Pennsylvania was aptly referred to as the “keystone” in the election. President Trump made five visits to the state in the last three days of the election.
The state depends on the traditionally blue areas around Philadelphia and Pittsburgh.
Fox News reported that Philly officials would not release the results tonight.
Final result not yet known
It is very likely that the final election results will not be known until after November 4th.
Stay tuned for The Political Insider.